The modified Surgical Apgar Score predictive value for postoperative complications after robotic surgery for rectal cancer.

Abstract

The Surgical Apgar Score quantifies three intraoperative parameters: lowest heart rate, lowest mean arterial pressure, and estimated blood loss (EBL). This scoring system predicts postoperative complications based on these measured factors. The aim of this study was to investigate the value of modified Surgical Apgar Score (mSAS) in predicting postoperative complications in patients with rectal cancer treated with robotic surgery in order to improve the survival and quality of life of rectal cancer patients. The study included patients with rectal cancer who underwent robotic surgery in the Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery at the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University from January 2015 to December 2023. In minimally invasive surgery, we developed a modified Surgical Apgar Score (mSAS) tailored for robotic rectal cancer surgery, incorporating an adjusted threshold for EBL. This threshold was derived from quartile analysis of a cohort of 524 patients, with a median EBL of 100mL (IQR 80-130mL). We analyzed the association of postoperative complications with low mSAS. This study included 524 patients, of which 91 (17.4%) experienced complications and 22 (4.2%) suffered severe complications. mSAS of 6 provided maximal Youden index and were determined as the cut-off values. The area under the ROC curve for predicting complications using the mSAS was 0.740. Univariate and multivariate analyses indicated that an older age, lower tumor localization, longer operation time, radiotherapy alone, combined chemoradiotherapy, and lower mSAS as independent risk factors for complications. The AUC of the prediction nomogram was 0.834 (95% CI 0.774-0.867). The calibration curve demonstrated excellent concordance with the nomogram, indicating the prediction curve ft the diagonal well. This study suggests that mSAS might be a valuable predictive indicator for postoperative complications following robotic rectal cancer surgery, with potentially higher clinical utility.