The modified Glasgow prognostic score for early mortality in patients with synchronous peritoneal carcinomatosis from colorectal cancer.

Abstract

Few studies have investigated the risk factors in patients with peritoneal carcinomatosis (PC) from colorectal cancer (CRC) who die within 3 months of undergoing surgical intervention and systemic chemotherapy. This study aimed to identify the risk factors associated with the post-treatment 3-month mortality rate. Retrospectively collected data from Hiroshima University were analyzed for patients presenting with synchronous PC from CRC between 1992 and 2012. The clinical, histological and survival data were evaluated and correlated with the overall survival rate at 3 months after surgical intervention. In patients who underwent surgical intervention with systemic chemotherapy for synchronous PC from CRC (N = 65), a Kaplan-Meier analysis and the log-rank test revealed that systemic chemotherapy (P = 0.023) and the modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) (P = 0.00001) were associated with the 3-month mortality rate. Multivariate analyses using these two factors revealed that the mGPS (0/1, 2) (odds ratio 8.087; 95 % CI 1.512-43.25; P = 0.015) was an independent risk factor for the 3-month mortality rate. The mGPS is an important independent predictor of the 3-month mortality rate in patients who undergo surgical intervention with systemic chemotherapy for synchronous PC from CRC. The mGPS could aid surgeons in choosing the appropriate treatment strategy and best care for patients.