Abstract

The paper describes a two-stage method for optimizing the location of marine oil spill combat forces and assessing the costs related to this action at the sea. An optimization problem relates to positioning the oil pollution combat ships in ports in such a way that they are able combat the anticipated number of oil spills in certain positions in the Polish coast of the Baltic Sea area in the shortest possible time. The problem was classified as NP-hard; therefore, in the first stage, an evolutionary algorithm was applied. The main output of the model based on the evolutionary algorithm is the time of arrival of combat ships from the port to the oil spill area, as well as the costs of such operation; this is defined as the aim function. The first stage of the model does not simulate combat pollution action; therefore, the results obtained were treated as approximate. In the second stage, the several best allocations of oil spill response resources obtained in the first stage were used as input to a detailed simulation model of combat action. For each chosen allocation, a number of oil combat action simulations were carried out. The model can be used to create and verify oil pollution contingency plans, and finally increase the sustainability of sea and coastal areas.

Highlights

  • Increasing the exploration and transport of crude oil carries the risk of increasing the probability of oil spillage, especially on routes used by ships transporting crude oil and its products [1,2]

  • The countries of the Baltic Sea Region are focused on preventing oil spills, but attention should be paid to the planning and coordination of oil pollution action, so that it can proceed as quickly and efficiently as possible when necessary

  • In order to ensure that the combat action is carried out quickly and efficiently, one must check whether the actual distribution of oil pollution combat ships allows effective action to be taken; if not, a new ship deployment should be sought to reach the spill site quickly, and take early action to combat pollution

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Summary

Introduction

Increasing the exploration and transport of crude oil carries the risk of increasing the probability of oil spillage, especially on routes used by ships transporting crude oil and its products [1,2]. The main objective of the action to combat oil pollution on the sea surface is to collect all or as much oil as possible before it reaches the shore in order to protect the environment and human health [3]. This is directly related to the cost of oil spill combat action, because the amount of substance that has polluted the coast has the greatest impact on the costs. In order to ensure that the combat action is carried out quickly and efficiently, one must check whether the actual distribution of oil pollution combat ships allows effective action to be taken; if not, a new ship deployment should be sought to reach the spill site quickly, and take early action to combat pollution

Behavior of Oil in the Sea Water
Model of Optimal Allocation of Oil Spill Response Resources
Assumptions and Problem Definition
Input Data
Formulation of Objective Functions
Optimizing Allocation Using Evolutionary Algorithms
Selection of the parental population
Crossing
Mutation
Application Interface
Hydrometeorological Conditions
Response Resources for Combat Oil Spill
Estimated Probable Spill Locations for Simulations
Performing the Experiment
Analysis of Costs of Combating Spills Generated by Simulation Scenarios
Statistical Analysis of Research Results
Application of a Multifactor Variance Analysis Model
Variation Analysis
Conclusions
Full Text
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