The Model of Consumption in a Regional Cluster of Meat and Related Products

Abstract

Meat industry is a fundamental component of the agro-industrial complex, playing the dominant role of the country’s economic stability. Optimal planning of production of meat and meat products taking into account scientifically based models makes it possible to ensure the food security of the state. Therefore, it is important to analyze the dynamics of the meat industry development and outline its prospects in the future not only in the Russian Federation as a whole, but also in the regions. The article examines the assessment of the regional meat market and related products in the case of the Udmurt Republic. Structural changes in the production and consumption of meat products have been analyzed. The article identifies the factors that influence the regional cluster of meat and related products. Based on the established factors, the article presents a mathematical model for the development of consumption of meat and related products. The article uses economic and mathematical methods of research. Correlation analysis was used to determine the factors influencing the volume of production. The study period is 15 years from 2002 to 2016. A total of 23 indicators used to characterize the market for meat and meat products. For reliability of the model, the comparative characteristics of the indicators for the period under study were made for 14 entities entering the Volga Federal District.