The Missing Endgame for Afghanistan: A Sustainable Post-Bin Laden Strategy

Abstract

Click to increase image sizeClick to decrease image size Notes 1. On June 22, 2011, the President subsequently announced that, due to the success of the “surge,” the United States would withdraw 10,000 troops by the end of 2011 and a total of 33,000 troops by Summer 2012. 2. Declan Walsh, “Whose side is Pakistan's ISI really on?” The Guardian, May 12, 2011, http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/may/12/isi-bin-laden-death-pakistan-alqaida; Ron Moreau, “With Friends Like These…,” Newsweek, July 31, 2010, http://www.newsweek.com/2010/07/31/with-friends-like-these.html 3. The Afghan Center for Socio-Economic and Opinion Research, “Poll of Afghan Opinion,” December 2009, http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/bsp/hi/pdfs/11_01_10_afghanpoll.pdf.http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/bsp/hi/pdfs/11_01_10_afghanpoll.pdf. 4. Heidi Vogt, “Afghan Government Tries to Get More Control of Funds Donated by Foreign Government,” The Associated Press, May 27, 2011, http://www.1310news.com/news/world/article/232353--afghan-government-tries-to-get-more-control-of-funds-donated-by-foreign-governmentsh 5. Josh Boak, “U.S.-funded Infrastructure Deteriorates Once Under Afghan Control, Report Says,” The Washington Post, January 4, 2011, http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/01/03/AR2011010302175.html 6. Kenneth Katzman, “Afghanistan: Post-Taliban Governance, Security, and U.S. Policy,” CRS Report for Congress, renowned RL30588, 2010, http://assets.opencrs.com/rpts/RL30588_20101019.pdfhttp://assets.opencrs.com/rpts/RL30588_20101019.pdf. 7. Karen DeYoung, “Afghan nation-building programs not sustainable, report says,” The Washington Post, June 8, 2011, http://www.washingtonpost.com/national/national-security/afghan-nation-building-programs-not-sustainable-report-says/2011/06/07/AG5cPSLH_story.html 8. ABC News/BBC/ARD Poll, “Views Improve Sharply in Afghanistan, Though Criticisms of the U.S. Stay High,” January 11, 2010, http://abcnews.go.com/images/PollingUnit/1099a1Afghanistan-WhereThingsStand.pdf 9. See, for example, “Interview with Senator Rand Paul,” January 26, 2011, http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2011/01/26/interview_with_senator_rand_paul_108684.html 10. Katzman, “Afghanistan: Post-Taliban Governance, Security, and U.S. Policy.” 11. Carl J. Schramm, “Expeditionary Economics,” Foreign Affairs 89, no. 3 (May/June 2010). 12. Ibid. 13. The World Bank, “Doing Business 2011,” p. 4, http://www.doingbusiness.org/~/media/FPDKM/Doing%20Business/Documents/Annual-Reports/English/DB11-FullReport.pdf 14. Katzman, “Afghanistan: Post-Taliban Governance, Security, and U.S. Policy.” 15. Jake Cusack and Erik Malmstrom, “Afghanistan's Willing Entrepreneurs: Supporting Private-Sector Growth in the Afghan Economy,” Center for a New American Security, November 2010, http://www.cnas.org/files/documents/publications/CNAS_Kauffman_Entrepreneurs_CusackMalmstrom.pdf 16. Jason Kelly, “Afghanistan: Land of War and Opportunity,” Bloomberg Businessweek, January 6, 2011, http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/11_03/b4211046076242.htm 17. Rod Nordland, “Killings of Afghan Relief Workers Stir Debate,” New York Times, December 13, 2010, http://www.nytimes.com/2010/12/14/world/asia/14afghan.html 18. Silatech, “What We Do,” http://www.seedact.com/files/seed_act_20.pdf;3. 19. Krzysztof Bobinski, “Building Free Markets–SEED Act 1989-2009 Enterprise Funds–A Closed Chapter or a Model to Be Followed?” The Enterprise Funds Association, November 2009, 20. Sumit Ganguly, “Afghanistan is Now India's Problem,” ForeignPolicy.com, July 19, 2011, http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/07/19/afghanistan_is_now_indias_problem 21. The Afghan Center for Socio-Economic and Opinion Research, “Poll of Afghan Opinion.” 22. “The World Factbook–Afghanistan,” Central Intelligence Agency, http://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/af.html 23. Prince Mathews Thomas and Cuckoo Paul, “India's Ore Play In Afghanistan,” Forbes.com, May 10, 2011, http://www.forbes.com/2011/05/10/forbes-india-ore-play-in-afghanistan.html 24. James Risen, “U.S. Identifies Vast Mineral Riches in Afghanistan,” New York Times, June 13, 2010, http://www.nytimes.com/2010/06/14/world/asia/14minerals.html 25. “The Chinese in Africa: Trying to pull together,” The Economist, April 20, 2011, http://www.economist.com/node/18586448; Andreas Lorenz and Thilo Thielke, “China's Conquest of Africa,” Der Spiegel, May 30, 2007, http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,484603,00.html. 26. S. Frederick Starr, Andrew C. Kuchins et al., The Key to Success in Afghanistan: A Modern Silk Road Strategy (Washington, D.C.: Central Asia-Caucasus Institute and Silk Road Studies Program, May 2010), http://www.silkroadstudies.org/new/docs/silkroadpapers/1005Afghan.pdf 27. Andrew C. Kuchins, “A Truly Regional Economic Strategy for Afghanistan,” The Washington Quarterly 34, no. 2 (Spring 2011), http://www.twq.com/11spring/docs/11spring_Kuchins.pdf 28. Sarah J. Wachter, “Afghanistan holds key to regional electricity development plan,” New York Times, March 30, 2008, http://www.nytimes.com/2008/03/30/business/worldbusiness/30iht-rnrgafghan.1.11528334.html?hpagewanted = all. 29. “Afghanistan's great purple hope: Bring on the pomegranate,” The Economist, November 27, 2008, http://www.economist.com/node/12708118 30. “The World Factbook–India,” Central Intelligence Agency, http://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/in.html, and “The World Factbook–Pakistan,” Central Intelligence Agency, http://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/pk.html 31. International Institute for Strategic Studies, The Military Balance 2010 (London: International Institute for Strategic Studies, 2010). 32. Henry A. Kissinger, “In Afghanistan, America Needs a Strategy, Not an Alibi,” International Herald Tribune, June 25, 2010, http://www.henryakissinger.com/articles/iht062510.html Additional informationNotes on contributorsDavid M. AbshireDr. David M. Abshire is President of the Center for the Study of the Presidency and Congress. He co-founded CSIS in 1962 and was U.S. Assistant Secretary of State (1970–1972) and U.S. Ambassador to NATO (1983–1987)Ryan BrowneRyan Browne is the Director of International Security Studies at the Center for the Study of the Presidency and Congress