The methodology of estimation of transport demand by the parameters of location of the mass gravitation centers in the urbanized territories

Anton Zedgenizov,P Vitaliy Vladimirovich

doi:10.1051/matecconf/201821205002

Anton Zedgenizov, P Vitaliy Vladimirovich

Open Access

https://doi.org/10.1051/matecconf/201821205002

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Abstract

The methodology of estimating transport demand by the parameters of location of the mass gravitation centers in the urbanized territories is considered in the article. The basis of the methodology is a basic scheme, conditionally divided into 4 main blocks and 17 steps. The first block is aimed at collecting primary information about the center of mass gravitation under consideration, the second one is for assessing transport demand during the daily period, the third one is necessary for assessing the quality of transport services for visitors of the considered center of mass gravity, for example, the calculation of the required number of parking slots or throughput, and confusing intersections. The fourth block is necessary for estimating the transport capacity of the calculation areas, and is the source of the initial data for transport planning at the second stage (trip distribution). It is also proposed to assess the accuracy of the proposed methodology on the basis of comparing the calculated values of the intensity of transport streams on the city’s network with the actual ones. On average, the deviation was 11%, which seems to be an acceptable accuracy for enlarged transport calculations.

Highlights

In accordance with the generally accepted approach to transport planning based on the fourstep model, the first two steps refer to the estimation of the transport demand: the estimation of the generating capacity of the mass gravitation centers (MGC) and the assessment of transport demand at the pre-network level
The low-rise buildings, gardening noncommercial partnerships (GNCP), recreation and entertainment parks, markets and other similar territories united by a single production or other activity should be included in the same territories
Verification of the received inter-district correspondence matrix according to the proposed methodology is necessary to confirm its operability, as well as to identify its points, which introduce the greatest error in the calculations

Summary

Introduction

In accordance with the generally accepted approach to transport planning based on the fourstep model, the first two steps refer to the estimation of the transport demand: the estimation of the generating capacity of the mass gravitation centers (MGC) (identification of the capacity on arrival and departure) and the assessment of transport demand at the pre-network level (calculation of inter-district correspondence matrix). Before the calculation of the capacity of the transport settlement areas (TSA) is started, it is necessary to create corresponding databases containing information on the number of TSAs, their relative location on the city plan (district plan), the distance from the city center, the areas of MGC of different functional orientation, etc

Materials and methods

Research

Results and discussion