Abstract

In order to propose a more realistic epidemic dynamics model and effective medical resource allocation strategy, this paper constructs an improved SEIR model combined with a dynamical medical resource allocation model and individual behavior sharing medical resources. Simultaneously, a genetic algorithm to solve the medical resource allocation model is proposed to obtain the optimum resource allocation strategy. In this SEIR model, there is an important critical value of the stored medical resources, when the number of stored medical resources is more than the critical value, the inhibition of epidemic can be continuously enhanced until it reaches a minimum threshold, and then stabilizes near a minimum value, but when the resource surplus is below the critical value, the inhibitory effect on epidemic will weaken. The results demonstrate that the number of patients in the proposed method decreased more than 40% compared with the conventional control experiment. Moreover, the algorithm can automatically make decisions according to individual behavior in sharing preferences and the epidemic development trend.

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