Abstract

Agriculture is primarily driven by weather. Forecast climatic conditions will further increase its vulnerability to crop failure and pest damage. Nowhere will this have consequences as dramatic as in the Mediterranean Basin. The challenge here is how to increase resilience of this complex ecological, economic, and cultural heritage in an era of decreasing resources and climate change. Climate services have the potential to support the transition towards a climate-resilient and low-carbon society. The MED-GOLD project will demonstrate the proof-of-concept for climate services in agriculture by developing case studies for three staples of the Mediterranean food system: grape, olive and durum wheat. The new climate services for agriculture developed by MED-GOLD will provide targeted information to companies that will allow them to act over longer time periods (months, seasons or even decades into the future) that go beyond the traditional 2–5 days provided by current weather forecasts. The cumulative benefit of MED-GOLD will range from enhancing agricultural management to supporting and informing policy-making at the Mediterranean, European and global levels. This is because olives, grapes, and durum wheat are grown across the globe and produce the raw materials for global food commodities such as olive oil, wine and pasta.

Highlights

  • Agriculture is perceived as one of the economic sectors where investments in climate services are likely to make the biggest impact [1]

  • Climate services have the potential to support the transition towards a climate-resilient and low-carbon society

  • The new climate services for agriculture developed by MED-GOLD will provide targeted information to companies that will allow them to act over longer time periods that go beyond the traditional 2–5 days provided by current weather forecasts

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Summary

Introduction

Agriculture is perceived as one of the economic sectors where investments in climate services are likely to make the biggest impact [1]. Decision making processes in the agriculture sector can still, largely, be optimized and better adapted to natural and anthropogenic fluctuations and changes in the climate system. Climate change is affecting wine production in all parts of the world, from rapid loss of viability right through to highly beneficial aspects that increase suitability. If the wine industry in any c The Authors, published by EDP Sciences.

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