The Main Trends in the Development of Agricultural Production in the World and Russia

Abstract

The article examines the trends in the production of the main types of agricultural products in the world based on the analysis of the OECD-FAO forecast for the next decade 2023–2032. According to this forecast, by 2032, world agricultural production in value terms will increase by 17 %. The strengthening of the role of developing countries in the production of agricultural products is the main trend in the development of world agricultural production, which is based on population growth, the need to ensure food security in connection with the sanctions policy of Western countries, which led to a change in trade relations and disruption of logistics supply chains of products. According to the OECD-FAO forecast, the countries of the Asia-Pacific region, as well as the countries of Africa, will provide more than 70 % growth in crop production. Developing countries will account for about 60 % of livestock production by the end of the decade. The main growth factor will be an increase in crop yields and animaproductivity based on the intensification of production and an increase in the level of scientific and technological support for the industry. The article also examines the main trends in the development of production and consumption of agricultural products in Russia for the next decade and determines the level of self-sufficiency in basic food products, which Russia will reach by 2032.