Abstract
Food prices are important both socially and economically due to food's high share in the consumption basket of households. This study aims to analyse the dynamic correlation and causality relationship between local currency oil and food prices in Turkey by employing DCC-GARCH model as well as Toda-Yamamoto and Wavelet coherence causality tests using monthly data covering 2003.1-2020.1 periods. The results indicate that there is strong dynamic correlation between local currency oil and food prices over time. It is also found that there is unidirectional causality from local currency oil prices to food prices. The results underline the importance of oil prices and exchange rates to predict food prices in Turkey. Taking into consideration that oil prices can be accepted as exogenous variable, which could not be controlled by the countries alone, policies that would be adopted for the stability of exchange rates become more prominent for Turkey.
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callMore From: International Journal of Monetary Economics and Finance
Disclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
