The link between Chinese belt and road initiative and foreign direct investment inflows in Southern Africa

Abstract

This study investigates the association between infrastructure development in China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows to southern Africa, using a propensity score matching–difference-in-difference (PSM-DID) regression. The empirical examination is based on a sample of eight southern African countries selected based on data availability. We find that China's BRI has significantly positive effects on FDI inflows to southern Africa. Therefore, governments and development policy makers in southern African countries are recommended to devise supporting policies in order to ensure that the BRI leads to sustainable FDI inflows and sustainable economic growth. The study makes significant contributions to theory, policy, and practice. In policy and practice, our study is valuable for policy-making on driving FDI inflows. However, the context of the study is specifically southern Africa, hence, the results might not be generalizable to other African regions or Africa as a whole, so further research is needed to consider those areas.