Abstract
Inspired by the work of Lang–Trotter on the densities of primes with fixed Frobenius traces for elliptic curves defined over \({\mathbb {Q}}\) and by the subsequent generalization of Cojocaru–Davis–Silverberg–Stange to generic abelian varieties, we study the analogous question for abelian surfaces isogenous to products of non-CM elliptic curves over \({\mathbb {Q}}\) that are not \({\overline{{\mathbb {Q}}}}\)-isogenous. We formulate the corresponding conjectural asymptotic, provide upper bounds, and explicitly compute (when the elliptic curves lie outside a thin set) the arithmetically significant constants appearing in the asymptotic. This allows us to provide computational evidence for the conjecture.
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