Abstract

Urban mobility is facing an increased long-term uncertainty and complexity generated by accelerated technological development. These challenges require radical advancement in planning processes and methods, which could enable breaking out of path dependencies and unlocking alternative, sustainable futures. In order to provide a landscape overview of foresight-focused methods used in the domain of urban mobility, we conduct a systematic literature review. An analytical framework for review is based on planning knowledge taxonomy, including dialectic between knowing how/what and knowing to what end and doing. Such framework formulation is aiming to assess methodological capacity for widening system boundary and holism (object-focus) as well as integration and imagination (process-focus). Results show that the overall trend of methodological development is emphasizing development in object or process-focus domain, but rarely both. In addition to this assessment, we conclude that methodological development should further reflect the moral and democratic dimension concerning public deliberation. Such development should aim to create spaces for shared discussion, reflection, and formation of alternative futures, while allowing spaces for agonistic contestation and conflicting opinions through radical, experimental, and experiential approaches.

Highlights

  • The high urgency of sustainability and related urban and transport planning actions need to be contrasted with the fact that human mobility is a domain with increasingly higher uncertainty and complexity [1,2,3]

  • It is widely recognized that dominant approaches in planning mobility systems have inevitable limitations in dealing with deep uncertainty [15,16]. Planning in such context requires pushing the boundaries of alternative futures [9], which would be used for identifying desirable futures, Sustainability 2020, 12, 2447; doi:10.3390/su12062447

  • Overal Distribution of Groups and Trends. This systematic literature review recognized a total of 282 papers, divided into five groups of unique methods

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Summary

Introduction

The high urgency of sustainability and related urban and transport planning actions need to be contrasted with the fact that human mobility is a domain with increasingly higher uncertainty and complexity [1,2,3]. It is widely recognized that dominant approaches in planning mobility systems have inevitable limitations in dealing with deep uncertainty [15,16]. Planning in such context requires pushing the boundaries of alternative futures [9], which would be used for identifying desirable futures, Sustainability 2020, 12, 2447; doi:10.3390/su12062447 www.mdpi.com/journal/sustainability have inevitable limitations in dealing with deep uncertainty [15,16]. There is a need for breaking out of current path

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