The LACE Index: A Predictor of Mortality and Readmission in Patients With Acute Myocardial Infarction.

Abstract

Improving patient outcomes after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) may be facilitated by identifying patients at a high risk of adverse events before hospital discharge. We aimed to determine the accuracy of the LACE (Length of stay, Acuity, Comorbidities, Emergency presentations within prior 6 months) index score (a prediction tool) for predicting 30-day all-cause mortality and readmission rates (independently and combined) in South Australian AMI patients who had an angiogram. All consecutive AMI patients enrolled in the Coronary Angiogram Database of South Australia Registry at two major tertiary hospitals and discharged alive between July 2016 to June 2017. A LACE score was calculated for each patient, and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was performed. Analysis of registry patients found a 30-day unplanned readmission rate of 11.8% and mortality rate of 0.7%. Moreover, the LACE index was a moderate predictor (C-statistic = 0.62) of readmissions in this cohort, and a score ≥10 indicated moderate discriminatory capacity to predict 30-day readmissions. The LACE index shows moderate discriminatory capacity to predict 30-day readmissions and mortality. A cut-off score of nine to optimize sensitivity may assist clinicians in identifying patients at a high risk of adverse outcomes.