The International Consortium on Primary Graft Dysfunction: Redefining Clinical Risk Factors in the Contemporary Era of Heart Transplantation

Abstract

Background: Primary Graft Dysfunction (PGD) is the leading cause of morbidity and mortality early after heart transplant (HT). The International Consortium on PGD is a multicenter collaboration dedicated to identifying the clinical risk factors for PGD in the contemporary era of HT. The objectives of the current report were to 1) assess the incidence of severe PGD in an international cohort, 2) evaluate the performance of the most validated PGD risk tool, the RADIAL score, in a contemporary cohort, and 3) redefine clinical risk factors for severe PGD in the current era of HT. Methods: This is a retrospective, observational study of consecutive adult HT recipients between 2010 and 2020 in 10 centers in the United States, Canada, and Europe. Patients with severe PGD were compared to those without severe PGD (comprising those with no, mild and moderate PGD). The RADIAL score was calculated for each transplant recipient. The discriminatory power of the RADIAL score was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis and its calibration was assessed by plotting the percentage of PGD predicted versus observed. To identify clinical risk factors associated with severe PGD, we performed multivariable mixed-effects logistic regression modeling to account for among-center variability. Results: A total of 2,746 patients have been enrolled in the registry to date, including 2,015 (73.4%) from North America, and 731 (26.6%) from Europe. 215 participants (7.8%) met the criteria for severe PGD. There was an increase in the incidence of severe PGD over the study period (p-value for trend by difference sign test = 0.004). The Kaplan Meier estimate for 1-year survival was 75.7% [95%CI 69.4-80.9%] in patients with severe PGD as compared to 94.4% [95% CI 93.5-95.2%] in those without severe PGD (log-rank p-value <0.001). The RADIAL score performed poorly in our contemporary cohort and was not associated with severe PGD with an AUC of 0.53 (95%CI 0.48-0.58). In the multivariable regression model, acute preoperative dialysis (OR 2.41, 95% CI 1.31 – 4.43), durable LVAD support (OR 1.77, 95% CI 1.13 – 2.77), and total ischemic time (OR 1.20 for each additional hour, 95% CI 1.02 – 1.41) were associated with an increased risk of severe PGD. Conclusions: Our consortium has identified an increasing incidence of PGD in the modern transplant era. We identified contemporary risk factors for this early post-transplant complication, which confers a high mortality risk. These results may enable the identification of patients at high risk for developing severe PGD in order to inform peri-transplant donor and recipient management practices.