Abstract
Most election pledges require a significant budget for their implementation. In the case of a candidate for the head of a local government who presented his pledges related to urban planning by subdividing them into voting districts, we tested how the size of the budget committed to the voters affected the votes. Based on the urban planning-related pledged budget, the economic utility value of one vote was estimated to be about 2050 USD. In elections for local government heads, as the pledged budget related to urban planning increased, the vote percentage and the degree of competition for votes increased positively. Moreover, when the pledged budget related to urban planning exceeded a certain level, the slope of the vote percentage curve tended to be gentle. The slope of the curve is steep in the section up to the pledged budget of 50 million USD, and the slope becomes gentle in the next section. This study was based on a specific case that was limited in terms of space and time, and it was limited to analyzing only the election pledge and election result data without considering the socioeconomic background factors of the voters.
Highlights
An election pledge is effective for obtaining votes only when it can provide short-term and tangible results [1,2]
With the pledged budget related to urban planning, the economic utility value of the votes in the election of local government heads was estimated
This study examined the impact of urban planning-related pledge budgets on votes in local elections from the perspective of public choice
Summary
An election pledge is effective for obtaining votes only when it can provide short-term and tangible results [1,2]. In this respect, various regional development pledges can provide a better opportunity for politicians to effectively communicate their plans or achievements to voters in comparison to welfare pledges [3]. To manage the efficiency of land use in a city, the head of the local government has the authority to make decisions on urban planning [7,8]. Most candidates for local government heads tend to emphasize urban planning-related projects in their election pledges [9,10]. A local government head elected through a local election will pursue re-election in the election based on faithful implementation of the urban planning-related projects that have been pledged
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