The Influence of Precursor Depletion and dose Regimens on Resistance to Erythropoiesis-Stimulating Agents: Insights from Simulations with Instantaneous Dose-Adaptation Algorithm

Abstract

Erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs) have been a common treatment for anemia associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD), while 10–20 % of patients continue to suffer from persistent anemia despite receiving ESA treatments. Our previous findings suggested that intensive ESA usage can cause resistance by depleting the erythroid precursor cells. Here, we used a mechanism-based pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) model of ESAs and conducted simulations to evaluate the influence of dose regimens and other factors (such as administration route, individual PK/PD parameters, types of ESAs, and disease status) on ESA resistance with instantaneous dose adaptations in healthy populations and anemic patients. The simulated results show that instantaneous dose-adaptation can reduce ESA resistance, but up to 30 % of subjects still ended up developing ESA resistance in healthy populations. The Smax is markedly higher in hypo-responders than in normal-responders, while hypo-responders possess fewer precursors and experience a faster decline compared to normal-responders. There is a ceiling effect of increasing ESA dosage to improve HGB responses and reduce ESA resistance, and the limit is lower in anemic patients compared to healthy populations. Subcutaneous administrations and ESAs with longer half-lives lead to stronger HGB responses and less resistance at equivalent doses. Taken together, this study indicates that precursor depletion contributes to ESA resistance and dose regimens can greatly influence the occurrence of ESA resistance. Furthermore, ESA treatment for patients showing ESA resistance should avoid continuously increasing doses and instead consider stimulating the renewal of precursors.