Abstract

Landslides are one of the most frequent geomorphic hazards, and they often result in the loss of property and human life in the Changbai Mountain area (CMA), Northeast China. The objective of this study was to produce and compare landslide susceptibility maps for the CMA using an information content model (ICM) with three knowledge-driven methods (the artificial hierarchy process with the ICM (AHP-ICM), the entropy weight method with the ICM (EWM-ICM), and the rough set with the ICM (RS-ICM)) and to explore the influence of different knowledge-driven methods for a series of parameters on the accuracy of landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM). In this research, the landslide inventory data (145 landslides) were randomly divided into a training dataset: 70% (81 landslides) were used for training the models and 30% (35 landslides) were used for validation. In addition, 13 layers of landslide conditioning factors, namely, altitude, slope gradient, slope aspect, lithology, distance to faults, distance to roads, distance to rivers, annual precipitation, land type, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), topographic wetness index (TWI), plan curvature, and profile curvature, were taken as independent, causal predictors. Landslide susceptibility maps were developed using the ICM, RS-ICM, AHP-ICM, and EWM-ICM, in which weights were assigned to every conditioning factor. The resultant susceptibility was validated using the area under the ROC curve (AUC) method. The success accuracies of the landslide susceptibility maps produced by the ICM, RS-ICM, AHP-ICM, and EWM-ICM methods were 0.931, 0.939, 0.912, and 0.883, respectively, with prediction accuracy rates of 0.926, 0.927, 0.917, and 0.878 for the ICM, RS-ICM, AHP-ICM, and EWM-ICM, respectively. Hence, it can be concluded that the four models used in this study gave close results, with the RS-ICM exhibiting the best performance in landslide susceptibility mapping.

Highlights

  • Landslides are one of the most frequent geomorphic hazards, and they have considerable economic and ecological consequences [1,2,3]

  • The results show that lithology and land type are crucial predictors for analytic hierarchy process (AHP), and slope gradient (0.3) and distance to roads (0.25) had the highest weights using entropy weight method (EWM)

  • Landslides are one of the most frequent geomorphic hazards that often result in loss of property

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Summary

Introduction

Landslides are one of the most frequent geomorphic hazards, and they have considerable economic and ecological consequences [1,2,3]. To mitigate these social and economic losses, it is valuable and essential to assess the landslide susceptibility in a region. Entropy 2019, 21, 372 involving land use management as an efficient approach to reduce property damage and economic loss in landslide-prone areas [1,6,7,8,9]. The outcome maps would be useful for general planned development activities and disaster management in the future, such as choosing new urban areas and infrastructural activities, as well as for environmental protection. Landslide susceptibility maps can be obtained using both qualitative (inventory-based and knowledge-driven methods) or quantitative approaches (data-driven methods and physically based models) [4,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17]

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