Abstract

We investigate the influences of the diffusion coefficients for heat and salt in the deep ocean upon the stability of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation through a parameter space investigation that employs the GFDL Modular Ocean Model (MOM). The ocean general circulation model is configured to represent an idealized Atlantic basin and steadily (including an annual cycle) forced under the assumption of mixed boundary conditions. The impact on the results of the use of mixed boundary conditions is examined through additional sensitivity experiments to demonstrate that this choice of boundary conditions does not affect the main conclusions. The two primary sets of the experiments that we describe consist of sensitivity analyses for both horizontal and vertical diffusion coefficients; Bryan-Lewis type diffusion coefficient profiles are applied in such a way that one diffusion coefficient profile is varied while the other diffusion coefficient profile is fixed. We are thereby able to demonstrate that the choice of the horizontal diffusion coefficient plays a crucial role in determining the stability of the thermohaline circulation which is such that the thermohaline circulation exhibits very intense oscillations on a multi-millennium timescale when the horizontal diffusion coefficient of the deep ocean is set to a sufficiently small value. We demonstrate that the critical value required to realize an oscillatory solution of the thermohaline circulation lies well within the range of observed large-scale ocean diffusion coefficients, whereas the value of vertical diffusion coefficients affect not the bifurcation structure but the period of the millennial timescale oscillation.

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