Abstract

Abstract. Models with a fixed structure are widely used in hydrological studies and operational applications. For various reasons, these models do not always perform well. As an alternative, flexible modelling approaches allow the identification and refinement of the model structure as part of the modelling process. In this study, twelve different conceptual model structures from the SUPERFLEX framework are compared with the fixed model structure GR4H, using a large set of 237 French catchments and discharge-based performance metrics. The results show that, in general, the flexible approach performs better than the fixed approach. However, the flexible approach has a higher chance of inconsistent results when calibrated on two different periods. When analysing the subset of 116 catchments where the two approaches produce consistent performance over multiple time periods, their average performance relative to each other is almost equivalent. From the point of view of developing a well-performing fixed model structure, the findings favour models with parallel reservoirs and a power function to describe the reservoir outflow. In general, conceptual hydrological models perform better on larger and/or wetter catchments than on smaller and/or drier catchments. The model structures performed poorly when there were large climatic differences between the calibration and validation periods, in catchments with flashy flows, and in catchments with unexplained variations in low flow measurements.

Highlights

  • Building accurate and computationally efficient hydrological models remains a challenging issue, despite the huge efforts by the community since the pioneering work of Linsley and Crawford (1960)

  • The challenges in representing hydrological processes have resulted in a large variety of models and modelling approaches, ranging from lumped conceptual models to distributed physically based models (we refer the reader to the reviews by Singh and Frevert (2002a, b), Pechlivanidis et al (2011) and others)

  • The main objective of this study is to investigate the impact of model structure on flow simulation for two hydrological modelling approaches: the fixed modelling approach, in which modellers would use a single predefined model structure, versus the flexible approach, in which the modeller could choose among a number of alternative model structures

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Summary

Introduction

Building accurate and computationally efficient hydrological models remains a challenging issue, despite the huge efforts by the community since the pioneering work of Linsley and Crawford (1960). One may mention TOPMODEL (Beven et al, 1995), HBV (Lindström et al, 1997), Xinanjiang (Zhao and Liu, 1995), NAM (DHI, 2008) or GR4J (Perrin et al, 2003). These models have been continuously improved and adapted over the years, the core of their structure remained more or less similar, and it was assumed to be general enough to be applicable in a wide variety of basins.

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