Abstract

<h3>Purpose</h3> Biomarker-based scoring algorithms have been reported throughout the EVLP literature; however, the role that prediction models play in influencing surgical decision-making is not known. Herein, we sought to assess the impact of biomarker scoring on EVLP-decisions in a retrospective, single center study. <h3>Methods</h3> A total of n=20 clinical EVLP cases were used in this study. Each case was independently assessed by n=15 study participants that included surgeons, surgical fellows, organ perfusion specialists, and EVLP assistants. Each EVLP case was de-identified and presented alongside an intended recipient. Participants were asked to determine the suitability of the lung for transplant (yes/no) based on standard EVLP assessments alone and their impression of the organ on a scale from 0-10. Biomarker scores were then revealed and participants were then asked to re-answer the transplant and lung suitability questions. <h3>Results</h3> There were a total of n=300 transplant decisions in this study with and without biomarker scoring. The use of biomarker scoring greatly increased the recommendation to transplant lungs predicted to result in post-transplant extubation <72h [OR=13; 95%CI:4-45] and significantly increased a participant's lung suitability score [+1.0; 95%CI:0.4-1.5]. For lungs predicted to have excellent recipient outcomes and the historical decision was to transplant the organ, there was a 6.7% increase in transplant recommendation. Importantly, there was a net 13.3% increase in transplant recommendation when the historical decision was to decline an organ likely to result in a good outcome. Conversely, there was a 13.3% decrease in the recommendation to transplant lungs likely to produce poor outcomes (i.e., prolonged ventilation or PGD 3) using biomarker scores (OR=0.4; 95%CI:0.16-0.98). <h3>Conclusion</h3> This study demonstrates that the inclusion of biomarker scoring during EVLP can lead to an increase in organ acceptance following EVLP. Furthermore, we demonstrate that organs that were associated with poor patient outcomes are less likely to be transplanted as a result of biomarker scoring being included in EVLP assessments. Taken together, this study provides strong rationale for the adoption of biomarker scoring algorithms during EVLP.

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