Abstract

Abstract Background/Introduction Several studies reported that approximately 50% of renal infraction (RI) is caused by cardioembolic disease, particularly associated with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, in the Korean national health insurance database (NHIS), from 2013 to 2019, the prevalence of AF in patients with RI was only 15%. So, we aimed to analyze the incidence of newly developed AF in RI patients. Method This nationwide population-based retrospective cohort study included 5,200 patients with RI using the NHIS database from 2002 to 2012. We analyzed the incidence rate of AF during 12 months among the patients without previous history of AF. We selected clinical events after three months of RI diagnosis to exclude cases diagnosed by initial screening or with previously missed diagnosis of AF. The definition of RI, AF, and comorbidities use the ICD-10-CM codes. Result During the total follow-up period (median 2.5 years, interquartile range 1.04-4.25), AF occurred in 19.1% of RI patients (n=993). Most cases (n=837, 16.1%) occurred within a year, and the incidence of AF was 3.965 per 10,000 person-year. Patients with newly developed AF had a higher proportion of older age than those without AF (64.1 vs. 57.3 years, P<0.001). The prevalence of comorbidities, including hypertension (HTN), ischemic heart disease (IHD), and heart failure (HF), was higher in those with AF. The independent predictors of AF were age (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.05, 95% CI 1.04-1.05, P<0.001), male (aHR 1.26, 95% CI 1.09-1.45, P=0.002), body mass index (BMI) (aHR 1.04, 95% CI 1.02-1.06, P <0.001), current smoker (aHR 1.20, 95% CI 1.03-1.40, P =0.023), IHD (aHR 1.20, 95% CI 1.00-1.45, P =0.050) and HF (aHR 1.70, 95% CI 1.25-2.33, P =0.001). Additionally, the incidence of all-cause death was 14.264 per 10,000 person-year during the follow-up period. Conclusion Even if AF is not diagnosed in the initial screening after diagnosis of RI, the physician should consider active rhythm monitoring to detect subclinical AF for optimal management in these patients. Especially it might be helpful to reduce the burden of recurrent embolic events in those with risk factors, such as older age, male, higher BMI, current smoker, IHD, or HF.Cox regression analysisAtrial fibrillation cumulative incidence

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