Abstract

Contribution to climate change mitigation is required for all world countries. Post-Soviet countries’ climate change policy strategies by 2030 (2035) were adopted relatively recently. Thus, the aim of this study is to analyze the achievements of climate change policy, encompassing carbon emissions, energy intensity, and renewable energy consumption, in separate Post-Soviet countries and to reveal the possibilities of reaching their long-term 2030–2035 targets. The results showed huge differences in carbon emissions, energy intensity, and the share of renewable energy consumption among Post-Soviet countries. Analyzing the trends of climate change policy implementation in almost all Post-Soviet countries (except Ukraine and Uzbekistan), carbon pollution increased during the analyzed period (2002–2014). The highest growth of emissions was observed in Georgia and Tajikistan. Furthermore, the economic development level was positively and significantly related to the level of carbon emissions. During the 2002–2014 period, energy intensity decreased in all Post-Soviet countries, particularly in those where the level was lower. The share of renewable energy consumption increased the most in countries that are members of the EU (Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia) and Moldova, which declared its willingness to join the EU. However, the energy intensity and the share of renewable energy consumption were insignificantly related to the level of economic development. Analyzing the possibility of achieving the Post-Soviet countries’ climate change policy targets, the results showed that only some of them will succeed. Therefore, Post-Soviet countries should implement more efficient climate change policies and effective tools in order to achieve their targets.

Highlights

  • Climate change is one of the global challenges that need to be addressed immediately

  • This study aims to analyze the achievements of climate change policy encompassing the carbon emissions, energy intensity, and renewable energy consumption of each Post-Soviet country and revealing the possibility of reaching the long-term 2030–2035 targets set by the countries of the Post-Soviet space in their energy strategies and climate change policies

  • We explored three aspects: tendencies of carbon emission (CO2 emissions), energy intensity (kg of oil equivalent per $1000 GDP, million tons of oil equivalent), and the share of renewable energy (% of total final energy consumption) in the period of 2002–2014

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Summary

Introduction

Climate change is one of the global challenges that need to be addressed immediately. All world countries must contribute to climate change mitigation to fulfill the ambitious plan of stopping the increase of carbon emissions and keeping the global average temperature growth “well below” 2 ◦C [1]. The largest share of countries ratified the Paris Agreement in 2015 to reduce or stop the growth of carbon emissions by 2030 [2]. All Post-Soviet countries set their climate change mitigation targets in their Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDC) and local energy strategies up to 2030 (2035). Researchers mainly focused on the achievements of the Paris Agreement and the 2030 goals in the European Union (EU) countries [3] and in China [4,5,6,7,8,9]

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