The impacts of interprovincial electricity transmission on China’s water crisis: Mitigate or aggravate

Abstract

Along with electricity transmission, virtual water is transferred from electricity generation provinces to load hubs, reallocating spatial water resources and impacting regional water scarcity. To assess whether virtual water in electricity transmission mitigated or aggravated national water scarcity, a rationality assessment model was proposed from energy-water nexus perspective. The interprovincial virtual water flows were calculated based on provincial water intensity and electricity transmission considering the provincial electricity generation mix. The flow rationality index and node rationality index were proposed and defined to evaluate the net benefit of virtual water flows and provinces, respectively, according to the interprovincial differences in water stress index. The results show that: 1) a large amount of virtual water was transferred from the northwest and southwest provinces to the southeast provinces and Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region; 2) the flow with the highest flow rationality index is Inner Mongolia-to-Hebei (29.8), while the lowest one is Shanxi-to-Hubei (−102.5); 3) the node with the highest node rationality index is Hebei (32.0), while the lowest one is Shanxi (−104.7). By quantifying the impacts of electricity transmission on provincial and national water stress, this study aims to provide guidance for national virtual water strategy by electricity transmission to mitigate national water scarcity.