Abstract

To determine the impact of virological control on inflammation and cluster of differentiation 4 depletion among HIV-infected children initiating antiretroviral therapy (ART) in sub-Saharan Africa. Longitudinal cohort study. In a sub-study of the ARROW trial (ISRCTN24791884), we measured longitudinal HIV viral loads, inflammatory biomarkers (C-reactive protein, tumour necrosis factor alpha, interleukin 6 (IL-6), soluble CD14) and (Uganda only) whole blood immunophenotype by flow cytometry in 311 Zimbabwean and Ugandan children followed for median 3.5 years on first-line ART. We classified each viral load measurement as consistent suppression, blip/post-blip, persistent low-level viral load or rebound. We used multi-level models to estimate rates of increase or decrease in laboratory markers, and Poisson regression to estimate the incidence of clinical events. Overall, 42% children experienced viral blips, but these had no significant impact on immune reconstitution or inflammation. Persistent detectable viraemia occurred in one-third of children and prevented further immune reconstitution, but had little impact on inflammatory biomarkers. Virological rebound to ≥5000 copies/ml was associated with arrested immune reconstitution, rising IL-6 and increased risk of clinical disease progression. As viral load testing becomes more available in sub-Saharan Africa, repeat testing algorithms will be required to identify those with virological rebound, who need switching to prevent disease progression, whilst preventing unnecessary second-line regimen initiation in the majority of children with detectable viraemia who remain at low risk of disease progression.

Highlights

  • Of the 1.8 million children living with HIV globally, over 80% live in sub-Saharan Africa

  • Cytokine measurements were available for 99.4% (n 1⁄4 309) children pre-antiretroviral therapy (ART) and for 83.6% of subsequent 24-weekly measurements [median (IQR) 7 (7, 8) timepoints per child]

  • Clinical events and growth by viral load dynamics After week 48, clinical events (WHO stage 3/4 events and deaths) were relatively rare (n 1⁄4 10) but occurred at a greater rate during rebound (53/1000 child-years [95% confidence interval (CI) 20–116]) than during suppression (5/1000 child-years [95% CI 1–17]) and after blips (9/1000 child-years [95% CI 1–34]; rebound vs. suppression: P 1⁄4 0.003); there were no events in children with LLVL

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Summary

Introduction

Of the 1.8 million children living with HIV globally, over 80% live in sub-Saharan Africa. Antiretroviral therapy (ART) has transformed clinical outcomes in HIV-infected children [1], only two-thirds were receiving treatment in 2019 [2]. HIV infection is characterized by inflammation and cluster of differentiation 4 (CD4þ) depletion, which underlie mortality in both children [4] and adults [5,6,7,8]. There has been considerable research in adults [9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16], much less is known about the relationships between CD4þ reconstitution, inflammation and viral load (VL) dynamics following ART initiation in children, in sub-Saharan Africa

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