The impact of urbanization and economic growth on carbon dioxide emission in sub-Saharan African countries: a perspective from the spatial-temporal approach.

Abstract

Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) is seeing exceptional urbanization and economic expansion rates. Therefore, the STIRPAT (Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence, and Technology) parameters and the spatial econometric framework are used in this work to examine the influence of economic growth and urbanization on SSA's CO2 emissions. Likewise, to determine the spatial effect and understand how factors influence the spatial dependence of carbon emissions, the study builds a spatial Durbin model (SDM). In line with the findings, the spatial correlation test revealed the spatial correlations across various countries. This indicates that the changes in sub-Saharan African country's CO2 emissions impacted nearby countries and the countries themselves. Additionally, the findings reveal that, in the SSA's countries, urbanization, economic growth, industrial structure, trade, and population, excluding energy intensity, which failed the significant test, all positively influence CO2 outflows, in line with the spatial econometric model's findings. Thus, energy intensity shares an adverse impact on carbon emissions. As an outcome, energy intensity reduces carbon dioxide emissions in nearby nations and the entire region. Thus, the study recommends that policymakers account for the effects of spatial spillover when establishing low-carbon policies, encouraging a low-carbon lifestyle, promoting environmentally friendly technologies, and improving regional collaboration.