The impact of time-varying clinical surrogates on disparities in African-American kidney transplant recipients - a retrospective longitudinal cohort study.

Abstract

An improved understanding of the impact of clinical surrogates on disparities in African-American (AA) kidney transplantation (KTX) is needed. We conducted a 10-year retrospective longitudinal cohort study of electronically abstracted clinical data assessing the impact of surrogates on disparities in KTX. Clinical surrogates were assessed by posttransplant year (1, 2, 3 or 4) and defined as acute rejection (Banff ≥1A), mean SBP >140mmHg, tacrolimus variability (CV) >40%, mean glucose >160mg/dl and mean hemoglobin <10g/dl. We utilized landmark methodology to minimize immortal time bias and logistic and survival regression to assess outcomes; 1610 KTX were assessed (54.2% AAs), with 1000, 468, 368 and 303 included in the year 1, 2, 3 and 4 complete case analyses, respectively. AAs had significantly higher odds of developing a clinical surrogate, which increased in posttransplant years three and four [OR year 1 1.99 (1.38-2.88), year 2 1.77 (1.20-2.62), year 3 2.35 (1.49-3.71), year 4 2.85 (1.72-4.70)]. Adjusting for the five clinical surrogates in survival models explained a significant portion of the higher risks of graft loss in AAs in post-transplant years three and four. Results suggest focusing efforts on improving late clinical surrogate management within AAs may help mitigate racial disparities in KTX.