Abstract
This paper presents an exercise in using the INFORUM LIFT macro-economic interindustry model of the US to analyze the industry and macro-economic impacts of structural change in the motor vehicles industry. This structural change is the result of the assumption that 3.6% of US automobiles sold will be electric vehicles by 2003, as a result of California legislation expected to be adopted by 13 states, which will take effect from 1998. In this study, alternative input–output coefficients for the motor vehicles and the automotive repair industries are derived for this mix of electric car production, and assumptions about fuel consumption and maintenance expenditures are also developed. The results of the study show that, although macro-economic effects are minimal, impacts on particular industries are significant, given the small level of market penetration assumed.
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