The impact of the distal ureteral diameter ratio, bladder volume at onset of vesicoureteral reflux, and/or grade in predictive models of clinical outcomes in children with vesicoureteral reflux

Abstract

Listen

Translate article

Vesicoureteral reflux (VUR) grade has been used as a primary factor in assessing a child's risk of clinical outcomes. Unfortunately, grade has poor inter-observer reliability. We hypothesized that more objective and reliable VCUG parameters including the distal ureteral diameter ratio (UDR) and volume at onset of VUR (Vol) may either augment or replace the current grading system to provide more reliable prediction of clinical outcomes. Multivariate clinical outcome models were analyzed to assess the impact on predictive accuracy by the addition of voiding cystourethrogram (VCUG) data including grade, UDR, and Vol, alone or in combinations. Clinical variables from retrospective review of 841 children's records included age, gender, presentation, VUR laterality, bowel and bladder dysfunction, history of febrile urinary tract infection (UTI), and number of UTIs. The primary outcomes assessed included VUR resolution or persistence and need for operative intervention. Grade, UDR, and Vol were independent predictors of resolution and operative intervention. Vol increased predictive accuracy in resolution models with grade or UDR alone; however, no significant difference occurred in models with the substitution of grade with UDR. A more reliable classification system for VUR, with improved predictive accuracy regarding clinical outcomes, may be developed incorporating UDR and Vol. Whether VUR grade can be completely replaced by Vol and UDR measurements requires further evaluation with larger number of patients.