Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of volatility on option pricing using the Black-Scholes model. Utilizing historical stock and option data from NVIDIA, this study demonstrates the limitations of the Black-Scholes model in capturing dynamic market conditions. The empirical analysis reveals significant discrepancies between model predictions and actual market prices, highlighting the importance of accurate volatility estimation. The findings suggest that incorporating better volatility measures can improve the accuracy of option pricing models. Additionally, the implications of these findings for traders and risk managers are discussed, emphasizing the need for more sophisticated approaches to volatility estimation in financial markets. This study adds to the body of knowledge by presenting actual data regarding the efficiency of different volatility metrics in option pricing. Moreover, it underscores the necessity of continuous improvement in financial modeling techniques to adapt to changing market dynamics. The study's results align with previous research that has shown the limitations of the Black-Scholes model and the benefits of alternative volatility estimation methods. This paper also discusses the potential application of these findings to improving trading strategies and risk management practices. The practical implications are significant, suggesting that traders and risk managers should consider incorporating advanced volatility measures into their models to enhance decision-making processes and financial outcomes. The conclusions drawn from this study highlight the critical role of accurate volatility estimation in achieving more reliable option pricing and underscore the need for ongoing research and innovation in this field.

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