Abstract

The purpose of this study is to examine the impact of Serbian tourists’ risk perception on their intentions to travel during the COVID-19 pandemic with the control of socio-demographic characteristics. This research was conducted in the period from 18 May until 24 May 2020, on a sample of 348 respondents, through an online questionnaire. The principal component analysis identified five categories of the perceived risk affecting travel intentions during the COVID-19 pandemic: the health risk, the psychological risk, the financial risk, the destination risk and the travel risk. Logistic regression was used to examine the way in which risk perception affects the intentions and destinations of travel during the COVID-19 pandemic. The research findings indicate that the risk perception (health, psychological, financial and destination risks) among Serbian tourists negatively affects their travel intentions during the COVID-19 pandemic. In terms of travel destinations, the results indicate that the travel risk negatively affects travel abroad, while the health risk, being on the verge of significance, proved to be a predictor of travel abroad during the COVID-19 pandemic. Furthermore, the variable of monthly income of the respondents was singled out as a significant predictor of travel abroad during the pandemic. Finally, the implications, limitations and recommendations for future research are presented in the paper.

Highlights

  • Various types of crises during the 21st century, such as terrorism, natural disasters, the danger of pandemics, increase in oil prices, exchange rate fluctuations, political and economic uncertainties, represent risky events faced by the world tourism

  • Health risk is on the verge of significance (p=0.05) and the findings indicate that an increase in health risk assessment increases the chance of traveling abroad during the COVID-19 virus pandemic (OR=1.55; 95% CI=1.012.40; p=0.05)

  • It is vulnerable to health crises, given the fact that travel affects the spread of the epidemic

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Summary

Introduction

Various types of crises during the 21st century, such as terrorism, natural disasters, the danger of pandemics, increase in oil prices, exchange rate fluctuations, political and economic uncertainties, represent risky events faced by the world tourism. The tourism industry, especially the international tourism demand, is very defenceless to crises or disasters, as it imposes a risk to health and personal safety for potential tourists (Estevão & Costa, 2020; Cró & Martins, 2017). In order for tourism to develop, without any risks to the safety of trip participants, open borders, stable political, social and economic, as well as health and safety conditions are necessary. The pandemic has led to global social and economic disturbances in the world (Sumner et al, 2020)

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