Abstract

This study delves into the relationship between the long-term trend of population aging and the risk-free rate against the backdrop of China's diminishing demographic dividend and declining birth rate. It further examines the mechanisms via which population aging affects the risk-free rate. The phenomenon of population aging is distinguished by a rise in the percentage of older individuals and a decline in the percentage of younger individuals, hence exerting a diverse range of effects on the economy. The demographic transition holds significant influence over savings, investment, labor supply, and interest rates, making it a crucial macroeconomic issue. This study employs a literature review methodology and conducts data analysis to construct a "elderly population ratio" framework grounded in life cycle theory. The objective is to investigate the correlation and knowledge significance of the risk-free rate.

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