Abstract

We investigated through a laboratory experiment whether performance in a cognitively demanding financial task can depend on prior outcome from independent and unrelated financial tasks. Subjects first faced a sequence of lottery choice problems, which generated a financial history, and then allocated a budget across two deterministic options, one with a linear, and the other with a highly non-linear return function. We found that more negative financial outcome histories tended to produce poorer cognitive performance. We also found that the proportion of subjects providing the poorest performance was independent of specific history, suggesting that performance of weaker sections of the population may be immune to prior personal experience.

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