Abstract

722 Background: Surgical resection is the only curative modality in pancreatic cancer, yet the vast majority of patients undergoing surgery succumb of their disease. No randomized studies have been performed to assess the survival impact of the procedure. We hypothesized that in the era of effective systemic treatments, the survival advantage of surgical resection would be lessened. Methods: A meta-analysis of published phase III clinical trials in pancreatic cancer in both the post resection adjuvant setting and the locally advanced metastatic setting, based upon indirect aggregate data. Data was stratified based upon the systemic agents used. Patients from trials arms for which there were not complementary data sets with/without surgical resection were excluded. Primary endpoint was 3 year overall survival (OS). Results: Trials were published between 1997 and 2018. A total of 2722 patients were included in the data analysis, of whom 1645 underwent tumor resection and 814 were metastatic. Median follow-up was 40 months. Analyses were performed of five systemic options with / without tumor resection. Across the trials averaged 3 yr OS was 0%, 0.8%, 0%, and 3.8% for 5FU, gemcitabine, gemcitabine + capecitabine, & FOLFIRINOX respectively; and 18.1%, 30.0%, 37.9%, 42.5%, and 62.5% for the same systemic treatments delivered following surgical resection. Hence the additive impact of surgical resection on absolute 3 yr OS was only 18.1% in the absence of systemic treatment, but 30.0%, 37.1%, 42.5% and 58.8% in the presence of 5FU, gemcitabine, gemcitabine + capecitabine, FOLFIRINOX respectively. Conclusions: Within the limitations of this analysis, it appears that our hypothesis was incorrect, and that the opposite is true. The introduction of effective systemic therapies has greatly increased the impact of pancreatic surgery on long-term survival in pancreatic cancer. Consequently, every effort should be made to bring patients to curative resection.

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