Abstract

This paper considers the impact of murder and accidental death on both the relative level and change of U.S. life expectancy compared to other industrial nations. The analysis presented here suggests that previous work relating lower U.S. life expectancy to higher U.S. murder and accident rates involved incorrectly specified econometric models. Changes in U.S. murder and accident rates over time do not explain the lower improvement in U.S. life expectancy relative to improvements in life expectancy in other developed nations. Even though U.S. murder and accident rates have declined since the 1970s improvements in U.S. life expectancy continue to lag improvements in other developed countries. Moreover, the lower improvement in U.S. life expectancy is largely a result of lower improvements in survivor rates in older cohorts with low murder and accidental death rates.

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