The impact of long-term exposure to PM10, SO2, O3, NO2, and COon incident dysglycemia: a population-based cohort study.

Abstract

To examine the associations between long-term exposure to five major air pollutants including SO2, PM10, O3, NO2, and CO, and incident dysglycemia, impaired fasting glucose (IFG), and diabetes, separately. A total of 4254 (1720 men) normoglycemic individuals aged 20-69years at baseline were followed from 2001 to 2018 every 3years. To measure the long-term hazards of air pollutants for incident dysglycemia, the Weibull proportional hazards models for every 10-unit increment adjusted for diabetes risk factors were fitted. The air pollutants were put in the models in the form of averages of 1-, 2-, and 3-year periods. During a median follow-up of 12.2years, we observed 1780 dysglycemia events. In contrast to NO2, the increase in SO2, O3, and PM10 levels were significantly associated with a higher risk of dysglycemia and IFG in all time spans excluding PM10 at 2years. The largest hazard ratios for incident dysglycemia and IFG were attributable to PM10 in 3years (2.20 (95% CI 1.67, 2.89) and 2.08 (1.55, 2.80), respectively). Moreover, exposure to all the pollutants except NO2 in 1year (0.89 (0.80, 0.98)) had no significant associations with incident diabetes. There was a signal that younger (< 45years) and never-smoker individuals were more predispose to dysglycemic effects of air pollution (all P for interactions > 0.03). Our findings suggested that long-term exposure to air pollution increased incident dysglycemia risk, the effect which was mainly attributable to IFG status.