The impact of increasing karyotypic complexity and evolution on survival in patients with CLL treated with ibrutinib

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AbstractComplex karyotype, defined as ≥3 cytogenetic abnormalities, is prognostic of survival in patients treated with ibrutinib or venetoclax in relapsed/refractory (RR) chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL). Recent studies re-evaluating this dichotomous variable have shown that higher numbers of cytogenetic abnormalities (ie, ≥5) have a worse overall survival in patients treated with chemoimmunotherapy. We sought to determine if increasing karyotypic complexity, treated as a continuous variable, was prognostic of survival for patients treated with ibrutinib for CLL. We conducted a retrospective analysis of all patients with CLL treated with single-agent ibrutinib or in combination with an anti–CD20 antibody at our institution. We included 456 patients with both treatment-naive and RR disease. Median number of prior therapies was 2 (range, 0-13), 30% of patients had presence of del(17p), and 75% expressed unmutated IGHV. Fifty percent had ≥3 cytogenetic abnormalities, including 30% with ≥5. In a multivariable analysis, increasing karyotypic complexity was an independent predictor of shorter progression-free survival (hazard ratio, 1.07; 95% confidence interval, 1.04-1.10; P < .0001) and overall survival (hazard ratio, 1.09; 95% confidence interval, 1.05-1.12; P < .0001). Furthermore, we found that presence of clonal evolution determined by cytogenetic analysis at progression was prognostic of subsequent survival (P = .02). This solidifies karyotypic complexity as an important prognostic factor for patients with CLL treated with ibrutinib. Further research should consider sequential karyotypic analysis as a determination of risk of progression and death in patients with CLL.