Abstract

In this paper, we study the relationship between environmental uncertainty and performance in the rice supply chain in the Ayeyarwaddy Region, Myanmar. Efficiency is one of the important performance indicators in both supply chain and agribusiness. In this regard, the objectives of the study are to identify the different sources of uncertainty perceived by the different actors in the supply chain, to measure the rice supply chain efficiency, and to study the impact of the environmental uncertainty on the supply chain efficiency. The data of 215 respondents is collected from the Ayeyarwaddy Region by using a purposive and stratified random sampling method, and we analyze this data via descriptive statistics, an exploratory factor analysis, data envelopment analysis (DEA), and Tobit regression analysis. The scores for the technical, pure, and scale efficiency show a very low performance of the rice supply chain in the Ayeyarwaddy Region resulting from the fact that most of the rice businesses are too small and need to expand their operating size. We found that this global rice supply chain performance is significantly impacted by the planning and control uncertainty and the climate uncertainty. Therefore, mitigation initiatives must be developed such as financial insurance mechanisms and extension services should be widespread. Both aim to improve the impact of the climate adverse conditions and to increase the efficiency of resource utilization in the supply chain. Moreover, the actors should organize themselves in cooperatives such that the scale of operations can be increased and information is captured and shared between different parties in the supply chain. This is crucial to operational control and planning because a higher quality of information input will increase the quality of managerial decision making.

Highlights

  • Agriculture plays a major role in Myanmar’s society by ensuring food security at community and national levels as well as in the provision of employment and income for a growing population

  • The environmental uncertainty and its associated factors are defined in terms of perception of the respondents given the role of individuals in the decision-making process

  • In this study, we determined the major sources of environmental uncertainty impacting the rice supply chain in the Ayeyarwaddy Region, Myanmar

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Summary

Introduction

Agriculture plays a major role in Myanmar’s society by ensuring food security at community and national levels as well as in the provision of employment and income for a growing population. Rice contributes export earnings to the economy of the country and provides food security and poverty reduction in Myanmar. Rice is the country’s most important agricultural product by far, accounting for about half of all cultivated land. Most of the household income is earned from rice farming and related activities, especially in major rice growing areas, i.e., the Ayeyarwaddy, Bago, and Sagaing regions in Myanmar. The Ayeyarwaddy Region is the main rice growing area in Myanmar and occupies 25% of Myanmar’s rice acreage and the use of farm mechanization in the region is very low with 251 tractors and 83 combined harvesters (AMD 2015)

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