Abstract
In this study, the factors affecting the request and action of migration are examined with empirical method within the scope of neoclassical economic theories and behavioral economic thought. A survey of a selected sample was analyzed with structural equation modeling. There was a linear relationship between migration and economic expectation, social capital and hope. It was found that the Economic Expectation Variable had a very strong negative effect on individuals' decision to immigrate and desire to migrate (γ = -0.99; t = -17.87). Hope variable has a very strong negative effect on individuals' migration decision and desire to migrate (γ = -0.96; t = -13.66). The Social Capital Secret Variable has a negatively moderate effect on individuals' decision to immigrate and desire to migrate (γ = -0.48; t = -8.19). It was seen that economic and political conjuncture was effective in the decision of migration of individuals. JEL codes: A12, B55, C25, E71, F22
Highlights
Migration as far back as human history dates back to many social, political, economic, ecological and cultural reasons, it basically refers to the temporary or permanent transfer of individuals from one geographical region to another as a result of the effort to survive (Hagen-Zanker, 2008)
The intensity of industry and service sectors increases the demand for labor, and the relatively high wage pushes the excess supply of labor in rural areas to meet the demand for labor in urban areas, inter-regional dual labor market constitutes economic theories and models of migration (Lewis, 1954; Harris & Todaro, 1970)
This study aims to provide an integrated analysis of the effects of economic expectations, hope and social capital on the potential migration idea and the desire for actual migration within the scope of neoclassical economic migration theories, expected utility theory, rational choice paradigm, behavioral economics and limited rationality
Summary
Migration as far back as human history dates back to many social, political, economic, ecological and cultural reasons, it basically refers to the temporary or permanent transfer of individuals from one geographical region to another as a result of the effort to survive (Hagen-Zanker, 2008). The event of migration is in the field of economics which is a social science. The migration phenomenon is analyzed by economic theories and models. The fact that the rural economy is based on agriculture causes labor supply surplus. The intensity of industry and service sectors increases the demand for labor, and the relatively high wage pushes the excess supply of labor in rural areas to meet the demand for labor in urban areas, inter-regional dual labor market constitutes economic theories and models of migration (Lewis, 1954; Harris & Todaro, 1970)
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