Abstract

This study aims to investigate resilience differences of asphalt pavements across China's climate zones in response to climate change. The impacts of climate change on rutting depth (RD), influence degree on rutting resilience, and Greenhouse Gas emissions in various climate zones were evaluated, and adaptation measures were proposed. The findings indicate that the warmer climate zones will be significantly affected. Freeways in these zones, serving for 10 years under projected climate conditions 40 years ahead, are expected to have RD increments exceeding 2 mm. Carbon dioxide equivalent emissions could increase by 23.1 million tons (a 39.4% increase) compared to current conditions. The degree of influence of climate change on rutting resilience will significantly differentiate among the climate zones. Four potential adaptation measures have been proposed to urgently enhance rutting resilience in response to climate change.

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