Abstract

While the result of the UK’s referendum on membership of the EU has been the subject of considerable scholarly interest, relatively little has been written on the impact of Brexit on the EU. Where academics have addressed the issue, they have tended to either see Brexit through the lens of European ‘(dis)integration’ theory or focused on its ‘static’ effects, assessing the impact of removing the UK from the EU’s policymaking machinery based on its past behaviour. This editorial sets out the overarching rationale of this thematic issue and introduces some key analytical elements drawn on by the individual contributions. Given that Brexit has so far not set in train major EU disintegration, the focus is on the detailed impact of the UK’s exit across specific policy areas and on problematising the notion that it necessarily implies a more socially progressive turn in EU policies. Our starting point is the fundamental uncertainty surrounding the future EU–UK relationship, and the process of arriving there. This points to the importance of focusing on the ‘dynamic’ impacts of Brexit, namely adjustment in the behaviour of EU actors, including in anticipation of Brexit, and the discursive struggle in the EU over how to frame Brexit. Policy change may also occur as a result of small, ‘iterative’ changes even where actors do not actively adjust their behaviour but simply interact in new ways in the UK’s absence. Several of the issue’s contributions also reflect on the UK’s role as a ‘pivotal outlier’. The editorial concludes by reflecting on how we analyse the unfolding Brexit process and on what broader insights this thematic issue might offer the study of EU politics.

Highlights

  • The vote for Brexit in the UK’s referendum on EU membership, held on 23 June 2016, has generated considerable academic interest

  • The uncertainty surrounding the future relationship points to the way in which the effects of Brexit on EU policies will depend on adjustments in the behaviour of both societal and institutional actors

  • There has been a tension between the UK possessing ample diplomatic and other capabilities, which have enhanced the EU’s external action, and itswillingness to support collective EU foreign and defence policy (Smith, 2019). While this thematic issue underlines the impossibility of making definitive predictions about the impact of Brexit on EU policies, we believe that it illustrates how informed reflection on its possible effects is feasible

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Summary

Introduction

The vote for Brexit in the UK’s referendum on EU membership, held on 23 June 2016, has generated considerable academic interest (for a review of books on the topic, see Oliver, 2019). 482), this thematic issue aims to offer more systematic analysis of the likely effects of the UK’s withdrawal in specific EU policy areas. It covers mostly ‘regulatory’ (such as the Single Market) and ‘external’ policy areas (such as the EU’s trade and foreign policies)—with one contribution focusing on the ‘redistributive’ Common Agricultural Policy (CAP). This thematic issue seeks to problematise the idea that the UK’s withdrawal will necessarily result in more ‘progressive’ or ‘socially-minded’ EU policies (e.g., Copeland, 2019). The final section offers some concluding thoughts on how to analyse the unfolding effects of Brexit and reflects on the thematic issue’s wider contribution to the study of EU politics

Uncertainty about the Future Relationship
Adjustment by EU Actors
Framing Brexit
The Speed and Scale of Policy Change
The UK as a Pivotal Outlier
Conclusion
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