THE IDEA OF ORGANISING THE 2022 WINTER OLYMPIC GAMES IN KRAKOW AND SLOVAKIA

Abstract

Aims. In 2012 Kraków together with Zakopane and the Slovak Republic applied to International Olympic Committee for organization of Winter Olympic Games in 2022. This article aims to illustrate in what aspects Kraków, Małopolska and Poland could suceed or fail as a result of being the Olympic Games organizer. Methods. By applying in our research multicriterial decision support methods AHP/ANP we will show Benefits (B), hidden Benefits - Opportunities (O), and on the other side - Costs (C) and hidden costs - Risks ( R ). Hypotheses. We assumed the following decision scenarios for organizing the Olympic Games in Poland: A. Organization of the Winter Olympic Games 2022 - with limited benefits and relatively low costs; B. Organization of the Winter Olympic Games 2022 with average costs and relatively high costs C. Organization of the Winter Olympic Games 2022 - with high benefits and relatively high costs. Results. AHP/ANP model included 39 BOCR criteria, including economic, technological, political and social factors determining Winter Olympic Games in Kraków, Zakopane and Slovak Republic. Pairwise comparison was made, with help of experts, of criteria individually to each BOCR (benefits - B, opportunities - O, costs - C and risk - R) value, next subcriteria to criteria, in four control hierarchy (in T.L. Saaty's fundamental scale). Relative weights of criteria are the result of pairwise comparison of each criterion against each other. The results of pairwise comparisons of BOCR eigenvalues support the profitability of organizing the Winter Olympics in Poland and Slovakia. Sensitivity analysis can slightly change the values of priorities for analyzed alternatives, but that requires taking extreme assumptions for BOCR ((benefits - B, opportunities - O, costs - C and risks - R) prioritization and their control criteria. As a result of prioritization for all criteria and subcriteria the following synthetic comparison. results for analyzed decision alternatives for organizing Winter Olympic Games in Kraków were obtained: 1. model B (0.40) - with average costs and relatively high costs; 2. model A ( 0.35) – with limited benefits and relatively low costs; 3. Model C (0.25) – with high benefits and relatively high costs. Conclusions. 1.The organization of the Winter Olympics in Poland and Slovakia she off could pay off; 2. As a result of prioritization, two math formulas give the same results for organizing Winter Olympic Games 2022 with relatively average costs and high benefits, as the best alternative. Results. AHP/ANP model included 39 BOCR criteria, including economic, technological, political and social factors determining Winter Olympic Games in Kraków, Zakopane and Slovak Republic. Pairwise comparison was made, with help of experts, of criteria individually to each BOCR value, next subcriteria to criteria, in four control hierarchy (in T.L. Saaty's fundamental scale). Relative weights of criteria are the result of pairwise comparison of each criterion against each other. As a result of prioritization for all criteria and subcriteria the following synthetic comparison. results for analyzed decision alternatives for organizing Winter Olympic Games in Kraków were obtained: 1. model B (0.40) - with average costs and relatively high costs, 2. model A ( 0.35) – with limited benefits and relatively low costs 3. Model C (0.25) – with high benefits and relatively high costs. Sensitivity analysis can slightly change the values of priorities for analyzed alternatives, but that requires taking extreme assumptions for BOCR prioritization and their control criteria. Conclusions. As a result of prioritization, two math formulas give the same results for organizing Winter Olympic Games 2022 with relatively average costs and high benefits, as the best alternative.