Abstract

The Indian River Lagoon (IRL) on Florida’s east-central coast is a highly developed eutrophic estuary, experiencing harmful algal blooms (HABs). Beginning in 2011, the IRL experienced multiple phytoplankton HABs that were followed by widespread seagrass losses and expanding blooms of the rhizophytic macroalga Caulerpa prolifera. To better understand factors related to the changing benthic cover, long-term monitoring data spanning 2011–2020 for seagrass and C. prolifera percent cover at six locations in the northern IRL and Banana River Lagoon were considered in multivariate analyses with environmental parameters (temperature, salinity, pH, dissolved oxygen, etc.), dissolved nutrient and chlorophyll-a concentrations, and macroalgal carbon (δ13C) and nitrogen (δ15N) stable isotopes, elemental composition (%C, %N, %P), and nutrient ratios (C:N:P). Data reduction using the global Bio-Env + STepwise (BEST) procedure followed by linkage tree (LINKTREE) analyses indicated the variable most correlated to annual differences in benthic cover was macroalgal C:P. Following seagrass losses, P availability increased, as the result of heavy rainfall, increased sediment flux, and/or more bioavailable P due to seagrass losses. The most correlated variables among differences in location were C:P, δ13C, and salinity, which could be related to less urbanization at the northernmost sites that had lower percent cover of C. prolifera. While not identified as a significant variable, the increase in C. prolifera was associated with four years (2016–2019) of high ammonium concentrations (6.26 µM) and macroalgal δ15N values (+8.67 ‰), linking the blooms to the influence of human waste. The variables identified in this work as related to benthic cover suggest that reducing stormwater runoff and inputs of human waste will promote the recovery of seagrasses in the IRL. These findings have implications for urbanized estuaries experiencing seagrass loss globally.

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