Abstract

This paper presents a novel method for incorporating the seasonal variations in gas demand into an assessment of the economic viability of a biomethane production and injection facility. A simulation of a gas distribution (Dx) network was built to investigate the impact of limits imposed by the gas network operator on the quantity of biomethane that can be injected. The results calculated the grid’s capacity to accept biomethane on an hourly basis over the course of a year. Scenarios of maximum, minimum and no demand at a Dx-connected compressed natural gas (CNG) filling station were computed for the 3 potential locations being investigated for the biomethane production and injection facility. This data was then used to determine a range of possible plant sizes for each potential facility location and CNG demand scenario. Next, a spatially explicit geographical information systems (GIS) model was created to map the distribution of feedstock suitable for biomethane production in the surrounding area and determine transportation distances. These two submodels fed into a techno-economic model that calculates the net present value (NPV) and levelised cost of energy (LCOE) for each configuration. Notably, the profitability of the plant was seen to increase proportionally with an increase in demand at the CNG filling station. Location 2 was determined to be the most economically viable site for the biomethane production and injection facility. The most economically competitive configurations resulted in an LCOE of 81.63 €/MWh, 83.59 €/MWh, and 83.73 €/MWh, with corresponding NPVs of M€ 9.56, M€ 3.98 and M€ 0.94, for maximum, minimum and no demand at the CNG filling station respectively. The most competitive configurations are achieved at a plant size of 115 GWh/a for the maximum CNG demand, 82.2 GWh/a for the minimum CNG demand, and 81.8 GWh/a for no CNG demand replacing 40%, 34%, and 35% of annual natural gas demand in the Dx network respectively.

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