Abstract

Electricity demand shifting and reduction still raise a huge interest for end-users at the household level, especially because of the ongoing design of a dynamic pricing approach. In particular, end-users must act as the starting point for decreasing their consumption during peak hours to prevent the need to extend the grid and thus save considerable costs. This article points out the relevance of a fuzzy logic algorithm to efficiently predict short term load consumption (STLC). This approach is the cornerstone of a new home energy management (HEM) algorithm which is able to optimize the cost of electricity consumption, while smoothing the peak demand. The fuzzy logic modeling involves a strong reliance on a complete database of real consumption data from many instrumented show houses. The proposed HEM algorithm enables any end-user to manage his electricity consumption with a high degree of flexibility and transparency, and “reshape” the load profile. For example, this can be mainly achieved using smart control of a storage system coupled with remote management of the electric appliances. The simulation results demonstrate that an accurate prediction of STLC gives the possibility of achieving optimal planning and operation of the HEM system.

Highlights

  • The need in electricity generation and management continues to increase each year

  • According to the latest estimations from the international energy agency (IEA), the world electricity consumption is expected to increase by 75% between 2007 and 2030 [1]

  • The efficient control of a storage system is of utmost importance both to smooth the peak demand, and shift the electricity consumption

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Summary

Introduction

The need in electricity generation and management continues to increase each year. This growth is primarily the result of the rapid increase in the world’s population and the upward trend in the number of electronic devices (that usually are connected objects) per person. The aim is to charge households various prices throughout the day based on wholesale costs, which might encourage them to shift their electricity usage from high price to low price hours, reducing their expenditures, and leading the least efficient power plants to stop production [3]. Such an approach currently exists for residential consumers only in the Nordic (e.g., in Finland, Norway, and Denmark), Estonian, and Spanish electricity markets. The problem is that load shifting can generate peak demand at the beginning of low peak hours, especially if many appliances are shifted to start at the same time

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