Abstract
Given the ongoing relative decline of the United States and the low probability of global war, what might we expect to happen in the world order? The choices reduce primarily to two possibilities. One is that the present world order will persist and continue to decay in sync with the relative decline of its founding patron. The other is that a new world order will be established either by China should it supplant the US at the global center or by some type of coalition of interested actors. The latter seems unlikely in the absence of the appropriate preconditions for changing world orders. It may be that the historically based conditions will prove no longer to be valid but, failing that, it seems most likely that the former option will prevail. World order will gradually diminish in geographical and substantive scope. Other partial orders may emerge in different parts of the world.
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