The future of obstetrics and gynecology. Council on Long Range Planning and Development with the cooperation of the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists

Abstract

The American Medical Association Council on Long Range Planning and Development has identified trends in the environment of medicine that are likely to affect the future of obstetrics and gynecology practice. The professional liability crisis is among the most potent factors affecting the types and numbers of services that obstetricians and gynecologists will provide in the future. The setting for obstetrics and gynecology practice is likely to be affected by advances in technology and trends in delivery and reimbursement systems. Two factors with potential to affect the organization of practice are the high numbers of women entering the specialty and increasing practice expenses, largely associated with liability costs. Other factors affecting future patterns of delivery include the anticipated aging of the female population and the changing social and economic roles of women. In particular, the feminist movement has focused more attention on women's health care and is expected to have a continuing impact on the delivery of obstetric and gynecologic care. The Council concludes that the most salient issues for the specialty in the future will be the following: (1) the direction of the professional liability crisis, (2) medical practice competition, (3) the feminization of poverty, (4) ethical issues arising from technological and social imperatives, (5) the changing gender profile of the specialty, and (6) the impact of the feminist movement on women's health care.