Abstract

As part of Qatar’s national vision for 2030, environmental sustainability has been put forward as an important aspect to develop for the future of the country [13]. Youssef [25] states that while the urban growth of Qatar is a somewhat recent phenomena, 99% of the country’s population reside in cities. This has led to several challenges, such as an increase in water, and electricity consumption, increase in waste, and polluted air quality. Thus, in order to manage these long term sustainable urban development challenges, Qatar has emphasized the importance of sustainable and green cities, such as Msheireb Downtown Doha. The aim of this research is to create scenarios about sustainable living in Qatar. The research begins with a PESTLE analysis of the country, from which the most important driving forces are derived. The extremes of the drivers are then elaborated upon, from which four scenarios are created and described in detail. Consequently, future strategic options are derived out of the scenarios, and the most feasible, and realistic options are chosen for each scenario in this research. Lastly, the options are reflected upon, and the research is completed with a conclusion at the end.

Highlights

  • As Artmann et al [1] observe, by the end of the 21st century, 90% of the world’s population will be located in urban areas

  • Economic Factors According to Reuters [15], despite the regional blockade places on the country, the economic environment is relatively stable, with the economy of Qatar being supported by the oil and gas exports, and other diversified sources such as growing tourism, and sustainable development in the country [12]

  • While the decrease in economic growth causes a decrease in the growth of supporting industries, an increase in sustainability allows for the local community to successfully preserve its urban and natural environments for its future generations

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Summary

Introduction

As Artmann et al [1] observe, by the end of the 21st century, 90% of the world’s population will be located in urban areas. It is important to understand the notions of developing urban infrastructure that are sustainable for future generations. Green cities are an important component of the urban sustainable development, and of smart economies of the future. Qatar has emphasized on the increase in education for its local community, making it another source of sustainable growth for the country. It has become a destination for business tourism, and regional political debates occurring in Qatar. The aim of this research is to create clear and relevant scenarios for sustainable living in Qatar. The research analyses Qatar and its capital city Doha, creates relevant scenarios for sustainable living. Two driving forces are chosen and are seen as the structure of constructing scenarios that help predict the environment of the future, and how the drivers would be in the terms of uncertainty, and impact [24]

Approaching the Topic and Time Horizon
Identifying Major Uncertainties
Naming the Alternatives
Calibrating a Future Compass
Implications of Future Scenarios and Strategic Options
Findings
Conclusions
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