The frequency use and the modal shift to ICT-based mobility services

Abstract

The information and communication technology (ICT) plays an important role in improving energy consumption efficiency and reducing the emission level in the urban transport sector. ICT-based mobility services like ridesourcing provide smart tools and algorithms for matching travel demand and supply and more convenient door to door services. However, there is a concern that the convenience and competitive service fares of these new mobility modes encourage people to make more car travel or shift from more sustainable mobility modes like public transport to car travels. Therefore, it is necessary to study the frequency use and modal shift to this new mobility mode, particularly in the cities (like Cairo), where the ICT-based mobility services contain more ridesourcing of fossil fuel cars than other modes like online bikes/scooter sharing. A survey was conducted in Cairo, and logit models were developed to analyze the associations of socioeconomic, travel behavior variables with the frequency use and modal shift to ridesourcing. The results of ordinal logistic regression indicate that people who live near a metro station, with higher income, and with more non-work trips per week are more likely to be high-frequent users of ridesourcing. Moreover, women are more likely to use ridesourcing frequently than men in Cairo. The findings indicate that the most replaced mode by ridesourcing is traditional taxis (by 33 %), and the second and third shifted modes are private cars and public transport by 30% and 24 %, respectively. The results of multinomial logistic regression show that the socioeconomic parameters have significant associations with the probability of modal shift from public transport, taxis, and private cars to ridesourcing services. • Ordinal and multinominal logits were used to model the frequency use and modal shift. • Women are more likely to be high-frequent users of ridesourcing than men in Cairo. • Citizens living near metro stations, are more likely to use ridesourcing frequently. • The most replaced transport mode by ridesourcing is white taxis in Cairo. • The second and third shifted modes are private cars and public transport.