Abstract

The need for radical change in the economy, or more broadly, in the socioeconomic system, is acknowledged today. The implementation of a large number of major reforms, radical decisions, and capital projects is planned. The complexity of the interrelations between economic and social relations is so great that the speculative evaluation of socioeconomic decisions does not guarantee the logical correctness of the reforms under discussion. Even the most talented humanistic economists, who traditionally draw upon their limited experience and "common sense," are unable to analyze, compare, and evaluate avenues of perestroika. History shows what insufficiently substantiated decisions not reinforced by a reliable forecast of their consequences can cost a country.

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